Sinai buildup shifts tenet of Egypt-Israel peace

Sinai buildup shifts tenet of Egypt-Israel peace

Ad hoc troop increases will not do — but Muslim Brotherhood is loathe to negotiate directly with Israel

By AMY TEIBEL and HAMZA HENDAWI 

CAIRO (AP) — Egyptian troops, light tanks, armored vehicles and attack helicopters are pouring into the Sinai desert to root out increasingly aggressive Islamic militants in the most significant easing to date of a key provision in the landmark 1979 peace treaty with Israel: The demilitarization of the peninsula.

For more than 30 years, Egyptian soldiers with heavy weapons were virtually banned from much of Sinai to create a buffer between the longtime enemies. Now, Israel has green-lighted the surge in hopes militants on its doorstep will be defeated.

But talk of formally changing the treaty remains just that, talk.

The reason may lie in the delicate realities of the new Egypt, where the fiercely anti-Israel Muslim Brotherhood has risen to political power — with one of its own as Egypt’s first president since the ouster of Hosni Mubarak last year. The Islamist group has said that Egypt will continue to abide by the accord. At the same time, it has repeatedly called for changes in the treaty’s limits on troops in Sinai, seen as humiliating.

But its calls may be mainly rhetoric for an Egyptian public among which anti-Israel feeling is high and amending the deal is popular.

Actually renegotiating the accord would require diplomatic gymnastics for the Brotherhood to keep its vow never to meet with Israeli officials. And any deal could be spun as the Brotherhood signing a peace agreement with its nemesis, no matter how much technical deniability the group tries to maintain.

Israel is willing to bend troop limits. But it is tepid to formal amendments for fear of enshrining too much firepower on its border, especially when Egypt’s post-Mubarak future remains unclear.

A senior Israeli official told The Associated Press in Jerusalem that the question of amending the treaty was not raised by the Egyptians so far, or by the Israelis. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak to the media.

“No one is talking about changing the treaty,” said Israeli lawmaker and former defense minister Benjamin Ben-Eliezer.

Asked about calls to amend the deal, the spokesman for Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi, of the Brotherhood, avoided a direct response. “The state respects international accords but at the same time serves the interest of the nation and Egyptian citizens,” Yasser Ali told reporters Tuesday.

The new Sinai offensive was sparked by a stunning surprise attack Sunday by militants that killed 16 Egyptian soldiers in Sinai near the border with Gaza and Israel.

It has underlined how much security cooperation still continues between Egypt and Israel despite the Brotherhood’s new prominence. Morsi may be president, but Mubarak-era military generals long accustomed to dealing with Israel still hold dominant authorities over him.

Middle-ranking security officials from the two nations communicate regularly. Cairo airport officials say hardly a week goes by without the arrival of a private plane of Israeli security officials who get whisked away from the tarmac for talks with their Egyptian counterparts and fly home hours later.

The 1979 peace deal won Egypt the return of the Sinai Peninsula, captured by Israel in the 1967 war. But it restricted numbers of troops and types of weapons Egypt could station there. Nothing more than a light weapon was allowed in most of the peninsula. Only police, no soldiers, were allowed in the zone directly on the border.

That has been altered twice since. After it pulled out from the Mediterranean coastal Gaza Strip in 2005, Israel allowed Egypt to deploy 750 military border guards.

Last year, the lawlessness in Sinai after Mubarak’s ouster prompted the Israelis to allow the deployment of some 3,500 troops with armored vehicles in the border zone.

Some estimates by Israel say Egypt deployed no more than 40-50 percent of the 3,500 troops. Egyptian officials have refused to comment on the troop numbers.

Now Egypt is moving in more soldiers and sharply hiking its firepower after last weekend’s attack. After intensive contacts between Egyptian and Israeli officials, Egypt early in the week sent at least two attack helicopters, 20 armored vehicles laden with an unspecified number of troops and elite counterterrorism policemen to the border zone, security and military officials in the area said. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to talk about the movements.

Overnight Tuesday-Wednesday, attack helicopters carried out their first strikes in the peninsula.

On Thursday, 60 more vehicles, including 40 light tanks, complete with their crews, headed to the border region.

Last weekend’s attack was an alarm bell over the increasing boldness of Islamic militants in Sinai. The attackers struck a military checkpoint, caused the Egyptian military’s worst non-wartime casualties, stole an armored vehicle and ammunition and drove into Israel, apparently to carry out an attack. There, they were hit by Israeli airstrikes.

It was at least the third attack into Israel by militants from Sinai since early 2011. Militants have also repeatedly attacked Egyptian army and security forces positions in northern Sinai, killing at least 50. Various militant groups, some with links to al-Qaida-inspired groups in Gaza, have cropped up, calling for an Islamic state in Egypt.

Militant activity in Sinai has grown for several years, fueled in part by resentment among many native Bedouins over police heavy-handedness and lack of adequate government services.

Things rapidly worsened after Mubarak’s ouster. Police largely melted away and are still too afraid to patrol many areas. A massive flow of smuggled arms from Libya, including heavy machine guns, RPGs and anti-aircraft guns, is making their way to Sinai militants.

The crisis has been left to fester in the 18 months since Mubarak’s fall while the military rulers who took power after him were tied down in political wrangling with the Brotherhood and other Egyptian factions.

“The military has been consumed by the political struggle that continues and issues of governance have not received diligent attention, Sinai included,” said Michael W. Hanna of the Century Foundation in New York. “This negligence has been exacerbated by the overall deterioration of security in the post-Mubarak period.”

Israel has been urging Egypt to go after militants. But its attitude has been that Egypt can do that with expanded troop limits, without amending the treaty.

“There are things that can be done… to add (Egyptian) border forces of a higher quality in terms of weaponry, perhaps free movement of helicopters in certain areas, but not much more than that,” said Eli Shaked, a former Israeli ambassador to Egypt.

“Israel sees Sinai as a strategic buffer zone of paramount importance. It should never be a springboard to launch any attack against Israel,” he told the AP.

Israel remains the archenemy in the eyes of most Egyptians, and many dislike the treaty. Still, Mubarak was a reliable ally, building close security cooperation and economic ties with Israel during his 29 year rule.

The treaty, negotiated under U.S. sponsorship, has been diligently observed by both sides’ governments for 33 years. It successfully ended a state of war between the most powerful Arab nation and Israel after four ruinous wars. It also changed the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East.

But the threats have changed, as Sunday’s attack made clear, said Nimrod Novik, who advised President Shimon Peres when he was prime minister and foreign minister. Novik advocates amending the treaty’s military annex to let in Egyptian troops more suited to fighting militants, such as airborne paratroopers.

Moreover, if amended by mutual consent, Novik explained, it would amount to an endorsement of peace by what he called the “new Egypt” — a reference to its Islamist leaders.

“Since the peace treaty is a paramount strategic asset for Israel, this symbolic act is significant, too.”

Defense Minister Ehud Barak says he does not doubt Egypt’s ability to clean up Sinai, but was not so certain about its political will to do so.

“Time will tell,” he told Israel Radio, but added: “We see operations we didn’t see in the past. They are acting with a sweep and resolve I don’t remember in the past.”


http://www.timesofisrael.com/sinai-buildup-shifts-tenet-of-egypt-israel-peace/